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EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.Market information: US President Biden plans to formally prevent Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) from acquiring American steel companies. US Steel (X) triggered an intraday fuse and fell 8.8% before trading was suspended.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)

On December 11th, Bitcoin fell below $95,000, down 0.68% in the day.Hezbollah in Lebanon said that it hoped that Syria would firmly resist Israel. Hezbollah in Lebanon issued a statement on the 10th local time, strongly condemning the continued invasion of Syrian territory by Israeli troops and destroying Syria's military combat capability, calling it a dangerous aggression. The statement pointed out that the UN Security Council, the international community and Arab countries have the responsibility to oppose and stop these Israeli actions and protect the Syrian people at this sensitive and crucial historical moment. Hezbollah in Lebanon also expressed its hope to see Syria stabilize, resolutely resist Israel and prevent foreign interference. (CCTV)Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.

According to the Korean Chosun Ilbo, a pro-Yin Xiyue official said that the president has made up his mind to face the constitutional hearing with impeachment, instead of resigning early.Market information: US President Biden seeks to veto once and for all the merger of Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) and American Steel Company (X).The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)